2009 MARKET SNAPSHOT
Prepared by Paul Hurst
This survey compares the entire year (Jan. 1 – Dec.31) of 2009 with 2008. Many of the areas are starting to see an increase in the number of sales, while average and median prices are also up slightly from the month before. This, combined with a very slight increase in the % of List Price to Sale Price, indicates we may have seen the bottom. The median and average sale price numbers are an indication that there are more “less expensive” homes selling than “more expensive” homes. Interestingly, the List/Sale Price ratios continue to remain pretty consistent.
Things are looking up!: ? In 2009, there were about 1335 closed or pending sales*, which works out to nearly 4 closed sales or new escrows every day …not bad! The number of units selling is up over last month in most of the areas. The foreclosure rate is still low compared to the rest of the state and country. Business for Prudential’s local offices is up…we maintain a 22.7% market share in the Santa Barbara area! We are seeing more investors coming into the market, and more multiple offers, which is another indication the market has hit the bottom. Interest rates are still very, very good!
CARPINTERIA / SUMMERLAND
(Includes Beach Property on Padaro, Fernald, San Point, & Finney
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD
2008
|
63
60
|
|
$1,851,241
|
|
$ 845,000
|
|
94
|
|
YTD
2009
|
72
90
|
+14%
+53%
|
$1,857,973
|
+0%
|
$ 734,000
|
-13%
|
94
|
|
CONDOS & TOWNHOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
41
45
|
|
$ 472,775
|
|
$ 459,000
|
|
96
|
|
YTD
2009
|
52
68
|
+26%
+51%
|
$ 504,448
|
+6%
|
$ 431,250
|
-6%
|
96
|
MONTECITO
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD
2008
|
159
153
|
|
$4,327,659
|
|
$3,300,000
|
|
94
|
|
YTD
2009
|
142
148
|
-10%
-3%
|
$3,454,113
|
-20%
|
$2,345,000
|
-28%
|
92
|
|
CONDOS & TOWNHOMES
|
|
YTD
2008
|
18
16
|
|
$1,713,692
|
|
$1,480,750
|
|
93
|
|
YTD
2009
|
11
13
|
-38%
-18%
|
$1,106,273
|
-35%
|
$ 945,000
|
-36%
|
95
|
SANTA BARBARA – EAST OF STATE STREET
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD
2008
|
199
201
|
|
$1,338,231
|
|
$1,120,000
|
|
94
|
|
YTD
2009
|
232
258
|
+16%
+28%
|
$1,059,768
|
-20%
|
$ 910,000
|
-18%
|
94
|
|
CONDOS & TOWNHOMES
|
|
YTD
2008
|
57
54
|
|
$ 706,253
|
|
$ 605,000
|
|
95
|
|
YTD
2009
|
55
69
|
-3%
+27%
|
$ 650,806
|
-7%
|
$ 539,000
|
-10%
|
95
|
SANTA BARBARA – WEST OF STATE STREET
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
140
149
|
|
$1,035,278
|
|
$ 929,500
|
|
96
|
|
YTD
2009
|
154
175
|
+10%
+17%
|
$ 834,951
|
-19%
|
$ 767,000
|
-17%
|
97
|
|
CONDOS & TOWNHOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
64
67
|
|
$ 620,780
|
|
$ 540,000
|
|
96
|
|
YTD
2009
|
81
90
|
+26%
+34%
|
$ 633,727
|
+2%
|
$ 503,000
|
-6%
|
97
|
HOPE RANCH (may inc. an area adj. to, but outside the actual Ranch)
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
20
19
|
|
$3,279,479
|
|
$2,875,000
|
|
95
|
|
YTD
2009
|
19
22
|
-5%
+15%
|
$3,630,132
|
+10%
|
$2,556,000
|
-11%
|
90
|
SOUTH GOLETA
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
81
79
|
|
$ 874,130
|
|
$ 735,000
|
|
98
|
|
YTD
2009
|
84
99
|
+3%
+13%
|
$ 865,620
|
-1%
|
$ 700,000
|
-4%
|
97
|
|
CONDOS & TOWNHOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
60
61
|
|
$ 524,737
|
|
$ 551,900
|
|
96
|
|
YTD
2009
|
67
77
|
+11%
+26%
|
$ 447,589
|
-14%
|
$ 451,000
|
-18%
|
97
|
NORTH GOLETA & UNINCORP. SANTA BARBARA (93111)
|
YEAR
|
Sales /
In Escrow
|
% Chg
|
Average
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
Median
Sale Price
|
% Chg
|
% of
List
|
|
SINGLE FAMILY HOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
156
165
|
|
$ 972,520
|
|
$ 832,500
|
|
96
|
|
YTD
2009
|
161
167
|
+3%
+1%
|
$ 826,987
|
-14%
|
$ 708,000
|
-14%
|
97
|
|
CONDOS & TOWNHOMES
|
|
YTD 2008
|
42
41
|
|
$ 512,549
|
|
$ 467,500
|
|
98
|
|
YTD
2009
|
60
67
|
+42%
+63%
|
$ 414,143
|
-19%
|
$ 397,500
|
-14%
|
97
|
% Change (rounded) compares the YTD of 2009 to YTD of 2008 only;
In 2008, a full 87% of all homebuyers used the Internet to search for a home, according to NAR. That’s up from 84% in 2007 and 80% in 2006. Nearly a third of buyers last year first saw the home they purchased on the Internet.
YTD CLOSED (& PENDING) SALES BY PRICE POINT
|
> $499,999
|
249 (66)
|
|
$500,000 - $749,999
|
332 (54)
|
|
$750,000 - $999,999
|
213 (33)
|
|
$1,000,000 - $1,999,999
|
220 (19)
|
|
$2,000,000 - $2,999,999
|
65 ( 6)
|
|
$3,000,000 - $4,999,999
|
37 ( 4)
|
|
$5,000,000+ (6 over $15M)
|
34 ( 3)
|
*MLS sales of single family homes, condos, townhomes & PUDs.